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Draw odds / Alaska / Black bear

Alaska black bear draw odds

7 hunts, 7 pools and 393 tags, computed with expected-value-v1 from Alaska Department of Fish and Game’s published 2025 draw statistics. Tell it what you hold and it sorts the field around you.

  • Nov 1, 2026applications open
  • Dec 15, 2026application deadline
Never miss these dates — freeThe deadline two weeks out, and results day when it comes — by email. Free, no card.

7 of 7 black bear hunts drew somebody last season.

All applicants: this agency publishes no point breakdown, so these are overall draw odds.

Coin flipa real chance, under even money7

  • DL01810 tags · 74 applicants67% success14%
  • DL03070 tags · 524 applicants40% success13%
  • DL028190 tags · 2,072 applicants50% success9.2%
  • DL02755 tags · 797 applicants57% success6.9%
  • DL02940 tags · 879 applicants68% success4.6%
Every Alaska black bear hunt — the full 7-hunt index
Every Alaska black bear hunt published for the 2025 draw, with each residency pool’s quota, first-choice applicants and draw-out level.
Hunt codeUnitHuntPoolTagsApplicantsDrew out at
DL018All applicants1074
DL027All applicants55797
DL028All applicants1902,072
DL029All applicants40879
DL030All applicants70524
DL455All applicants251,220
DL457All applicants3636

Odds describe last season’s published field, not a forecast — a pool under ten tags moves materially on one applicant, and ≥, ≤ and ≈ mark levels the agency did not publish outright. Every figure comes from Alaska Department of Fish and Game’s own statistics; confirm with the agency before you apply.