Draw odds
Every number is computed from the agencies’ own published draw statistics with open formulas — sources cited on every table, prediction error measured and published, never a black box.
Build my season →balances + budget in, a ranked application portfolio out — free
Plan with your party →everyone’s points in, every hunt ranked for the group
Research every hunt →every state’s hunt codes in one sortable, shareable table
Pure random draw: tags ÷ applicants, points play no part.
Bison · Black bear · brown-bear · caribou · dall-sheep · Elk · Moose · Mountain goat · muskox
Hybrid: 20% of tags award by point rank, the remaining 80% through a lottery at points + 1 entries each over everyone still standing.
Bighorn sheep · Bison · Deer · Elk · Javelina · Pronghorn · Turkey
Hybrid: 90% of tags award by point rank, the remaining 10% through a flat random draw over everyone still standing.
Bighorn sheep · Deer · Elk · Pronghorn
Pure preference: tags fill from the highest point level down; the last level in is a random subset, everyone below draws nothing.
Deer · Elk · Pronghorn
Pure random draw: tags ÷ applicants, points play no part.
Bighorn sheep · Black bear · Deer · Elk · Moose · Mountain goat · Pronghorn · Turkey
Bonus: every applicant holds points + 1 lottery entries.
Explainer + calculator — statistics ingestion pending
Bonus squared: every applicant stays in the lottery holding points² + 1 entries — more points, better odds, nobody at zero.
Bighorn sheep · Deer · Elk · Moose · Mountain goat · Pronghorn
Bonus with a cliff: 2×points + 1 entries through three points, then points³ + 1 from the fourth — the year the odds curve turns vertical.
Deer · Elk · Moose · Pronghorn
Pure random draw: tags ÷ applicants, points play no part.
barbary-sheep · Bighorn sheep · Deer · Elk · ibex · Javelina · oryx · Pronghorn
Bonus squared: every applicant stays in the lottery holding points² + 1 entries — more points, better odds, nobody at zero.
Bighorn sheep · Black bear · Deer · Elk · Moose · Mountain goat · Pronghorn
Pure preference: tags fill from the highest point level down; the last level in is a random subset, everyone below draws nothing.
Explainer + calculator — statistics ingestion pending
Hybrid: 75% of tags award by point rank, the remaining 25% through a flat random draw over everyone still standing.
Black bear · Deer · Elk · Pronghorn
Flat lottery: one entry each.
Elk
Hybrid: 50% of tags award by point rank, the remaining 50% through a lottery at points + 1 entries each over everyone still standing.
Bighorn sheep · Bison · Black bear · Deer · Elk · Moose · Mountain goat · Pronghorn · Turkey
Bonus squared: every applicant stays in the lottery holding points² + 1 entries — more points, better odds, nobody at zero.
Bighorn sheep · Black bear · Deer · Elk · Moose · Mountain goat · Turkey
Pure preference: tags fill from the highest point level down; the last level in is a random subset, everyone below draws nothing.
Bighorn sheep · Bison · Deer · Elk · Moose · Mountain goat · Pronghorn