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Draw odds / Nevada

How the Nevada draw works

The draw is how Nevada Department of Wildlife hands out its limited deer, elk, pronghorn, bighorn sheep, mountain goat, moose and black bear tags: you apply by the deadline, and the system below decides who is drawn. Everything here — the rules, the dates and the odds for every hunt — comes from the agency's own published material.

Rules from Nevada Department of Wildlife’s published materials — verified against the cited sources on 2026-08-15.

Nevada hunting units — public land, access and harvest for every unit →

The system

Deer, Elk, Pronghorn All applicants

Bonus squared: every applicant stays in the lottery holding points² + 1 entries — more points, better odds, nobody at zero.

The main draw. Applications in spring, results in May-June. Five choices are offered and all five are published in the bonus-point tables. Nonresidents are capped per hunt, so resident and nonresident pools are drawn against different quotas and ship separately.

Bighorn sheep, Mountain goat, Moose, Black bear All applicants

Bonus squared: every applicant stays in the lottery holding points² + 1 entries — more points, better odds, nobody at zero.

Nevada draws three bighorn herds separately — Nelson (Desert), California and Rocky Mountain — and they normalize onto one species with the herd as a variant, because the fees vocabulary has a single bighorn entry and splitting it would invent a species for what is one animal in three mountain ranges. Moose is Nevada's newest big game species and its draw is tiny: one hunt.

Points: bonus. Bonus points are SQUARED into extra random draw numbers: a hunter with N points holds N squared plus one entries, so ten points is 101 chances against a first-timer's one. They are never a queue — a zero-point applicant draws on luck every year, and no number of points guarantees a tag. Points are lost only on drawing the species, and accrue by applying (or by buying a points-only application in some species).

Parties: allowed — averaged points round to the nearest whole point (.5 rounds up). Parties of up to 2. Nevada allows group applications; the group's bonus points are averaged rather than summed, so adding a zero-point partner drags a high-point applicant down. Party sizes vary by species and are small.

Set per hunt and published in the workbook's Quota column alongside tags actually issued, which differ when a hunt undersubscribes.

Dates

main draw application: Spring; see NDOW for the current season's window

results: May-June

Odds by hunt

Bighorn sheepBlack bearDeerElkMooseMountain goatPronghornPlan with your party →Build my season →

Point calculator

The field — applicants at each point level:

pts ·applicants
pts ·applicants
pts ·applicants

At 3 points your first-choice odds are 11%

6 pts → 34%3 pts → 11%0 pts → 1.1%

Same formulas as the published odds tables (expected-value-v1) — see methodology.

Sources

NDOW — Bonus point data (per-point applicant and success tables)

NDOW — Hunt statistics (the per-hunt workbook)

NDOW — How do bonus points work in Nevada?

Methodology: expected-value-v1, with published backtests.