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Draw odds / Washington / Black bear

Washington black bear draw odds

21 hunts, 21 pools and 668 tags, computed with expected-value-v1 from Washington Department of Fish and Wildlife’s published 2021 draw statistics. Tell it what you hold and it sorts the field around you.

21 of 21 black bear hunts drew somebody last season.

All applicants: this agency publishes no point breakdown, so these are overall draw odds.

Coin flipa real chance, under even money21

  • 7012Unit 178 · Black Bear Permit · Map5 tags · 50 applicants0% success10%
  • 7020Unit 642 · Black Bear Permit · Map50 tags · 742 applicants24% success6.7%
  • 7004Unit 117 · Black Bear Permit · Map100 tags · 1,858 applicants—5.4%
  • 7002Unit 108 · Black Bear Permit · Map40 tags · 790 applicants10% success5.1%
  • 7003Unit 111 · Black Bear Permit · Map50 tags · 1,075 applicants6% success4.7%
Every Washington black bear hunt — the full 21-hunt index
Every Washington black bear hunt published for the 2021 draw, with each residency pool’s quota, first-choice applicants and draw-out level.
Hunt codeUnitHuntPoolTagsApplicantsDrew out at
7000101Black Bear PermitAll applicants501,942—
7001105Black Bear PermitAll applicants501,328—
7002108Black Bear PermitAll applicants40790—
7003111Black Bear PermitAll applicants501,075—
7004117Black Bear PermitAll applicants1001,858—
7005121Black Bear PermitAll applicants1002,187—
7006154Black Bear PermitAll applicants18774—
7007162Black Bear PermitAll applicants181,470—
7008166Black Bear PermitAll applicants51,189—
7009169Black Bear PermitAll applicants601,549—
7010—Black Bear PermitAll applicants24778—
7011175Black Bear PermitAll applicants18700—
7012178Black Bear PermitAll applicants550—
7013181Black Bear PermitAll applicants5106—
7014186Black Bear PermitAll applicants5220—
7015627Black Bear PermitAll applicants5332—
7016633Black Bear PermitAll applicants5461—
7017681Black Bear PermitAll applicants20571—
7018684Black Bear PermitAll applicants10246—
7019—Black Bear PermitAll applicants301,130—
7020642Black Bear PermitAll applicants50742—

Odds describe last season’s published field, not a forecast — a pool under ten tags moves materially on one applicant, and ≥, ≤ and ≈ mark levels the agency did not publish outright. Every figure comes from Washington Department of Fish and Wildlife’s own statistics; confirm with the agency before you apply.